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Can The PM Turn The Tide

April 8, 2024

Monday 08 April 2024
Sarah Blake
The Nightly


 As the Opposition warns of a new wave of boats testing our borders, locals  say it is a miracle anyone survived the perilous conditions on the north-west  coast
 
 It's wild and treacherous country along Australia's far north-west coast, not  somewhere you'd want to be blindly stumbling for a few days in the hope of  being rescued by a passerby.
 
 Crocodile infested, isolated and deadly dry in parts, the lonely Kimberley  coast has drawn at least three boatloads of asylum seekers and the nation's  attention since November last year.
 
 Most of the latest group to arrive wandered into Mungalalu Truscott Airbase  on Friday afternoon, a group of 15 men who were reportedly Chinese nationals.  The final member of their party was found on a road near the airbase on  Sunday morning by WA Police, who said he was in "relatively good  condition".
 
 By Monday, the men were understood to have joined the other recent arrivals,  39 men who landed in February and 12 who also turned up at Truscott in  November, at Australia's offshore processing facility on Nauru.
 
 While Prime Minister Anthony Albanese insisted there had been no change to  our border protection policy since 2013 and that no unauthorised arrivals  would be able to stay in Australia, local authorities and the Federal  Opposition said the Government was failing to keep the area safe.
 
 Shadow home affairs minister James Paterson said the spate of arrivals, and  the fact this latest group were the first Chinese asylum seekers for more  than 10 years, was alarming, and showed that people smugglers in South-East  Asia have opened a "new migration pathway".
 
 Warning that the Government's "loss of control" on the borders was  inciting the new wave of arrivals, he said conditions were mirroring those  that sparked the inception of the secretive Operation Sovereign Borders.
 
 Mr Paterson said the abolition of temporary protection visas last year had  "sent the wrong message to people smugglers" and that "has  regrettably encouraged people to get on boats again".
 
 "The reason why that's such a problem is we know that last time that  cost at least 1200 lives at sea," he said. "We don't want to see  that happen again." Mr Paterson called for more border control  resources, including drones. He also repeated claims, disputed by the  Government, that budget cuts had led to aerial surveillance being reduced by  20 per cent and maritime patrols by 12 per cent.
 
 Wyndham East Kimberley shire president David Menzel said a stronger military  presence was needed to patrol the area, adding the people smugglers were  clearly well-informed about where to drop the new arrivals.
 
 "I'll give these people credit for their navigation skills, because they  are spot-on and seem to manage to drop these people off right near some  settlements every time," he said.
 
 "It's concerning that we're not getting the level of resources we need  here.
 
 "There seems to be a disconnect between what the Government is saying  and what the Opposition is saying about the level of resources, and I've just  got no idea who's telling the more accurate story.
 
 "But there's no doubt that we've had three boats in the last five  months, so the important thing is there's a message that's not getting out to  the people who are buying these boat rides. The messaging into South-East  Asia needs to be lifted to make sure these people know they're not going to  stay here." While the boat arrivals have generated headlines, it was  unlikely that the Coalition's efforts to make illegal immigration a key issue  at the next election would be successful, according to veteran pollster Kos  Samaras.
 
 "I can't see it scratching the sides given the cost-of-living crisis  that most Australians are grappling with," Mr Samaras, director of  RedBridge Group, said. "The next election will be defined around the the  economy, how it's been managed by the Government, how bad the situation has  become for a lot of households . . . And we know that people under the age of  45 have a very different view about boat people in general." However,  the conservative-aligned Institute of Public Affairs warned Australians were  extremely concerned about immigration and that the issue of boat arrivals was  conflated for many with population growth.
 
 Recent IPA polling found 60 per cent of Australians wanted to pause  migration, said the outfit's deputy executive director Daniel Wild.  "It's not just a conservative issue, it's across politics. Whether  you're a Labor voter, a Coalition voter, One Nation, whatever it might be,  there is a pretty broad base of concerns about the sustainability of the  migration program and what it's actually doing to people's lives," he  said.
 
 There was a risk that the febrile political debate on illegal immigration  would lend to the perception that Australia's border policy had softened and  thereby further encourage people smugglers, said Jake Davies, who is  completing his PhD on immigration politics at the University of Sydney.
 
 "If you talk down Australia's border security policies, there is a  saying that 'loose lips bring ships'," he said. "It will  potentially incentivise the people smugglers to send people to Australia,  because they'll read the headlines and see that supposedly Australia's become  a soft touch." For veteran WA pilot Steve Irvine, who spent 40 years  flying above the Kimberley coast, the most surprising thing about the recent  arrivals is that outsiders would be able to survive the conditions.
 
 "There are thousands of miles of coastline where people can be dropped  off," Mr Irvine, the owner of Shoal Air in Kununurra, said.
 
 "And if they get dropped off in the wrong part of that coastline, they  are doomed. If they're not found they will perish, and who knows, there may  be some out there that have died . . . It's not somewhere you want to be  wandering around."

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